Yankees vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks – August 1
The Miami Marlins, led by Kyle Stowers, are set to face off against Paul Goldschmidt and the New York Yankees at loanDepot Park on Friday. The Yankees, who are the favorites, have moneyline odds of -161 against the underdog Marlins, who come in at +135. New York is favored on the run line at -1.5 with +104 odds tenement building taguig. The over/under for this game is set at 7.5 runs, with -115 odds for the over and -105 for the under.
Here’s everything you need to know from a betting standpoint regarding the Yankees-Marlins matchup, covering the run line, moneyline, and total, along with expert picks. Stay updated on MLB action via FOX Sports.
Yankees vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds
When: Friday, August 1, 2025, at 7:10 p.m. ET
Where: loanDepot Park in Miami, Florida
How to watch on TV: FDSFL and YES
| Favorite | Moneyline | Underdog | Moneyline | Total | Over | Total Odds | Under | Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -161 | Marlins | +135 | 7.5 | -115 | -105 | -1.5 | +104 | -125 |
Yankees vs. Marlins Prediction
Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Marlins 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Yankees 51%, Marlins 49%
Yankees vs. Marlins Betting Insights
The Yankees have been favored 92 times this season, winning 52 of those matchups, giving them a 56.5% success rate. They hold a 30-18 record when favored by -161 or more on the moneyline this year. The Yankees’ implied probability of winning based on the moneyline is 61.7%.
On the other hand, the Marlins have won 46 of the 94 games they were underdogs in this season, a win rate of 48.9%. Miami’s record stands at 17-23 when the odds are at +135 or worse, with an implied victory probability of 42.6% based on these odds.
Yankees Recent Betting Performance
Throughout their last 10 games, the Yankees were moneyline favorites in six instances, finishing with a 2-4 record in those games. They managed to go over the set run total in five out of their last 10 matchups, while their ATS record over the same span is 3-7-0.
Yankees Recent Stats
| Record: | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game: | 4.4 |
| Home Runs: | 18 |
| ERA: | 4.70 |
| K/9: | 8 |
Yankees Player Insights
Cody Bellinger is producing at a .283 average, with 20 doubles, five triples, 20 home runs, and 32 walks. His home run count ranks him 24th in MLB, and he’s 26th in RBIs. Bellinger enters this game with a five-game hitting streak, recording .316 batting average over those games with two triples, a home run, two walks, and five RBIs.
Paul Goldschmidt has a .282 batting average with 24 doubles, a triple, eight home runs, and 30 walks, ranking him 178th and 153rd in MLB for home runs and RBIs, respectively. Anthony Volpe is batting .215, while Trent Grisham is hitting .247.
Yankees Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Grisham | 0.5 (-235) | 1.5 (+115) | – | 0.5 (+195) |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 (-240) | 1 tyler tio ateneo.5 (+135) | – | 0.5 (+230) |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0. welcome to ilocos norte5 (-195) | 1.5 (+130) | – | 0.5 (+185) |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 (-190) | 1.5 (+120) | – | 0.5 (+140) |
| Jasson Dominguez | 1. july 3 personality woman5 (+195) | 1.5 (+110) | – | 0.5 (+190) |
Marlins Recent Betting Performance
The Marlins played as underdogs in eight of their last 10 games, winning five. However, they have only hit the over in two of their last 10 games. Their record against the spread in this stretch is 6-4-0. pests in rice fields
Marlins Recent Stats
| Record: | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game: | 3.4 |
| Home Runs: | 9 |
| ERA: | 2.45 |
| K/9: | 8 |
Marlins Player Insights
Kyle Stowers leads the Marlins with 23 home runs and 63 RBIs, boasting a team-high batting average of .298. His home run total ranks him 13th in the majors and his RBI total 26th. Otto Lopez has hit 14 doubles, 11 home runs, and 34 walks while batting .251. Xavier Edwards holds a .292 average with 16 doubles and three triples.
Marlins Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+155) | – | 0.5 (+200) |
| Agustin Ramirez | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+120) | – | 0.5 (+170) |
| Xavier Edwards | 1.5 (+190) | 1.5 (+135) | – | 0.5 (+240) |
| Janson Junk | – | – | – | – |
| Kyle Stowers | 0.5 (-160) | – | – | 0.5 (+190) |
This article was created using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar. Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account to receive personalized newsletters daily. Follow your favorites to enhance your FOX Sports experience.
What are your thoughts on the Yankees’ chances against the Marlins in this matchup?
